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24.3.27_Sabotage_RUS.pdf
Abstract:

В статье критически оценивается развитие возможностей НАТО по сдерживанию нынешней агрессивной политики России на основе стратегических уроков Холодной войны. Хотя изменения в стратегии НАТО после 2014 года отражают вернувшееся понимание российской угрозы, передовые силы, развернутые сегодня на Восточном фланге, особенно в странах Балтии, всё ещё недостаточны для надёжного сдерживания путём воспрещения. Мощная оборона межгерманской границы многочисленными дивизиями во времена Холодной войны сравнивается в статье с разрозненными и слабо обеспеченными ресурсами силами вдоль сегодняшней границы НАТО с Россией. Отмечая приоритет обычного сдерживания при ограниченных ядерных возможностях и неэффективность невоенных средств сдерживания, в статье утверждается, что НАТО необходимо ускорить трансформацию, существенно увеличив численность сил быстрого реагирования, укрепив материально-техническое обеспечение и поддерживая высокий уровень военных расходов. Без серьёзных оперативных возможностей НАТО рискует оказаться уязвимой к российской стратегии «свершившихся фактов» и утратить веру в обязательства коллективной обороны.

Ключевые слова: сдерживание гибридные угрозы обычная война нерегулярная война диверсии
Метки:
Конфликт, Разведка, Безопасность, Терроризм, Восточная Европа
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Анеску, Анка Иоана. (2025 г.) 2025. «Сдерживание гибридной войны: подходы НАТО к российским диверсиям». Connections: The Quarterly Journal 24 (4): 77-97. doi:https://doi.org/10.11610/connections.rus.24.3.27.
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