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Abstract:

Проблемы климатической безопасности требуют скоординированного и быстрого реагирования гражданского и военного секторов с целью повышения их готовности и устойчивости. Анализ технологий двойного назначения на основе сценариев способствует укреплению сотрудничества между военными и гражданскими для разрешения одновременных кризисов климатической безопасности. Для разработки сценариев одновременных кризисов используются ре­альные инциденты в той или иной области, на стыке двух и более секторов, представляющие проблему для традиционных систем быстрого реагирования. Инструменты на базе ИИ и беспилотные системы могут помочь в принятии более обоснованных решений путём координации и обучения на основе кризисов, включая лесные пожары и Арктику. Планирование на основе сценариев помогает выявлять проблемы управления и координации в моделируемых условиях, тем самым поддерживая готовность к разработке базовых сценариев климатической безопасности и мер быстрого реагирования.

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Эткинсон, Раян. (2024 г.) 2024. «Сценарии моделирования климатической безопасности: повышение оперативности реагирования на одновременные кризисы». Connections: The Quarterly Journal 23 (3): 113-29. doi:https://doi.org/10.11610/Connections.rus.23.3.06.
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