01653nas a2200277 4500000000100000000000100001008004100002260000900043653001000052653001600062653001600078653002600094653002600120653001400146653001900160653003600179653001600215653001500231653001400246100001700260700002100277245004200298300001000340490000700350520101800357 2022 d c202210aA2/AD10aanti-access10aarea denial10acompetition continuum10aconventional conflict10agrey zone10aHybrid threats10aintermediate force capabilities10anon-kinetic10anon-lethal10athreshold1 aPeter Dobias1 aKyle Christensen00aThe 'Grey Zone' and Hybrid Activities a41-540 v213 a

Military operations in the grey zone (defined here as the space between peace and war where states are currently involved in a competition continuum) present a unique challenge for military planners. Potential adversaries—well aware of NATO’s conventional lethal capabilities—have been using the space below the lethal threshold of conflict with impunity to further their objectives. To re-establish effective deterrence, it is imperative that NATO develops the ability to deny its adversaries the ability to act freely in this zone below conventional conflict. That requires imposing a cost on hostile actors acting below the lethal threshold of open conflict, across multiple domains, from the tactical through the operational to the strategic level. Intermediate Force Capabilities (IFC) are the kind of tools that provide effective means of response below the lethal threshold both tactically and operationally and can effectively shape the environment across domains up to the strategic level.